Disqualifying Statements?

Does this Kausfiles Klassic from September 2006 count?

RT partner "R" emails to give the upshot ... Only 1 of 5 Democrats look to be in any trouble at all, so the magic number for the D's remains 15 or 16 at the worst.

Doesn't sound like a baked cake, does it? ... And if the Dems aren't convincingly ahead in enough of those races now to pick up 15 seats, doesn't it seem like the GOPs have a chance?

That was the mid-term election in 2006. You know, the election when Democrats won thirty-one seats?

In Mickey's universe, a cake is not fully baked until it is fired from a cannon into the sun.